Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.013969 0.016210 0.018682 0.021611 0.024984 0.028745 0.033256
2026-01-25 0.010399 0.013234 0.016648 0.021053 0.026583 0.033289 0.042035
2026-02-01 0.008091 0.011155 0.015133 0.020661 0.028132 0.037864 0.051494
2026-02-08 0.006533 0.009668 0.014017 0.020466 0.029763 0.042652 0.061854
2026-02-15 0.005298 0.008356 0.012858 0.019936 0.030744 0.046583 0.071506
2026-02-22 0.004681 0.007816 0.012685 0.020746 0.033701 0.053639 0.086567
2026-03-01 0.004012 0.007064 0.012044 0.020693 0.035264 0.058721 0.099217
2026-03-08 0.003348 0.006196 0.011064 0.019909 0.035479 0.061621 0.108653
2026-03-15 0.002905 0.005632 0.010498 0.019714 0.036613 0.066103 0.121207
2026-03-22 0.002710 0.005483 0.010630 0.020754 0.040021 0.074846 0.142198
2026-03-29 0.002478 0.005221 0.010510 0.021299 0.042568 0.082323 0.161764
2026-04-05 0.002151 0.004718 0.009854 0.020713 0.042873 0.085667 0.173954
2026-04-12 0.001902 0.004343 0.009408 0.020501 0.043927 0.090647 0.190102
2026-04-19 0.001657 0.003935 0.008835 0.019945 0.044206 0.094135 0.203724
2026-04-26 0.001461 0.003603 0.008375 0.019560 0.044783 0.098282 0.219197
2026-05-03 0.001306 0.003340 0.008027 0.019369 0.045743 0.103320 0.237141
2026-05-10 0.001150 0.003049 0.007571 0.018863 0.045926 0.106695 0.251846
2026-05-17 0.001091 0.002990 0.007651 0.019629 0.049137 0.117122 0.283602
2026-05-24 0.000992 0.002810 0.007409 0.019577 0.050397 0.123263 0.306208
2026-05-31 0.000868 0.002545 0.006919 0.018834 0.049865 0.125161 0.319004
2026-06-07 0.000787 0.002380 0.006661 0.018650 0.050709 0.130432 0.340582
2026-06-14 0.000763 0.002379 0.006836 0.019635 0.054693 0.143834 0.383904
2026-06-21 0.000722 0.002317 0.006837 0.020150 0.057504 0.154617 0.421818